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Tag: recession

  • “O-BenTi” Trio Might Finally be Winning

    Obama, Ben and Tim (O-BenTi, I just created this name to save writing space) might finally be winning the recession war (only time will tell whether or not it is sustainable or going to result in another bubble). Their “glimmer of hope” campaign seems to be working nicely; even the consumer sentiment index says so,…

  • As Bad As It Gets

    U.S. nonfarm payrolls plunged by over half million, a bad surprise of 533,000 job losses in November. This is the worst job loss in 34 years according to the Labor Department. Since the recession began 11 months ago, nearly 2 million jobs have been lost. As per marketwatch story, The unemployment rate rose from 6.5% in…

  • Where are the Markets Heading?

    Below charts and rough technical analysis is not to paint a grim picture but is rather an attempt to define a range for the downside. It’s better to develop trading plans with the worst case scenario in mind vs. developing plans on pure hopes and dreams. I don’t argue that equities are starting to show…

  • Panic Before Everyone Else Does

    Market forecasting is one thing and profiting from it is altogether another thing. OPNewsletter subscribers know how accurate so far my warnings had been and I did panic before everyone else did but did I benefit by opening pure bearish trades? In the hindsight, I could have made a killing but did I? No! Sure it…

  • Get Real or Go Home

    It took almost 5 years of Bull markets for Auzzie $ to reach its peak against US$ and just 5months to give it all back. The picture is not so much different for British Pound as well. The once mighty US$ is back with full force, against all convetional wisdom and doomsday forecasts, and almost all…

  • OPNewsletter : Oct’08 (+9%)

    What a tubulent week! For the week ending Oct 17, here is the market tally. Dow closed at +4.7%, S&P500 almost similar +4.7%, NDX: +3.3%, Nasdaq (COMPQ) +3.6% and Russell 2000 almost flat at +0.75%. For OPNewsletter, it was rather an unusual month. We opened one mini-portfolio consisting of options in Russell 2000, that was officially closed for…

  • Are you Prepared for the Next Leg

    I don’t think 8,000 is far for Dow! Yes, that’s a grim forecast but not something unrealistic. I shall be publishing rationale for this via a special report. You may follow my thoughts at InvesCafe, a micro blogging investment portal something like twitter but focused towards investing and finance. An almost 400points u-turn in the…

  • Is It a Bear Market or a Bull Market?

    What kind of market we are facing these days? One day it is up, but to give-up all the gains next day. 200-300points daily move seems like a norm for Dow Industrial. It is a good market for directional players, yet it is a bad market for directional player. Delta neutral seems a good idea…