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Tag: Bear market signal

  • Just What I Said

    What a week that it was!! It’s very easy to say “just what I said” and pat your shoulder but the tough part is to say now what’s next? How do I benefit from what’s coming? I shall share what I mentioned to OPNewsletter members last week– So fireworks happened in the afternoon trading… …today is…

  • This Time is Different?

    In order to share current market conditions, I borrowed this title from an excellent book “This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly by Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen M Reinhart”. If you haven’t read it, I shall suggest that you get a copy and read it. Let’s get to the business. If by June…

  • Is the Correction Over?

    Is this correction over? Probably a trillion dollar question that is going through everybody’s mind! The irony is that whoever has the crystal ball to answer this, probably doesn’t even need to answer this as he/she must have already achieved the market nirvana. Rest of us can only try or guess. Let me share my…

  • Is It the Beginning of a New Bull Market?

    It’s been quite a while since I last posted and since then a lot has occurred in the markets. Just to provide the context before proceeding, since we opened Aug OPNewsletter portfolio 2wks back , hold your breath, X is up almost +25%, OIH +14%, IWM /RUT +11%, GDX and Dow +9%, S&P500 almost +8%.…

  • What’s Next for Stocks Markets and Me

    So we are having a great rally. It doesn’t seem like it wants to pause. If Dow is up this week, it will be up 8 out of the last 9 weeks. Wow, what a complete reversal of a downward trend that we had been observing since last year. What an extended overbought period. The…

  • Get Ready for Next Bear Leg and Start Hedging

    As of yesterday’s close, the DJIA has gained 21% since establishing the March 9 low. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have gained 23% and 25%, respectively, over the same time period. Wow, we have had wonderful rally so far, >20% gains in matter of less than 3 weeks; and probably one of the strongest rally…

  • OPNewsletter- Mar’09 +8.8%, Apr +2.4% (Open)

    March’09 portfolios were closed +8.8% (excluding commissions) and +5.6% (including commissions). I used up about +46.7% of the assumed 10K capital for OPNewsletter. This result doesn’t include excellent results from bonus trade alerts. When compared with broader markets, this was probably one of the best months for OPNewsletter. Look at the major market movements since…

  • Buckle-Up

    Time changes so quickly, what seemed almost impossible a few months back, just turned into reality and markets are no different. Who would have thought just a year back that Markets all the around world will be cut into half, who would have thought the massive destruction of personal wealth in such a short period?…

  • Outperformance Continues at OPNewsletter

    When compared with broader markets, Feb was an excellent month for OPNewsletter coupled with a few good learnings (kinda reinforcement, been there done that, but forget that). Overall, OPNewsletter for Feb closed up +5.6% x-commissions and +2.6% including commissions. Capital preservtion and thus allocation was higher priority vs missing an opportunity. These results doesn’t include…

  • Panic Before Everyone Else Does

    I have tried my best to warn OP readers of the upcoming storm, over and over again starting from November 2007. Fun fact, this is what I wrote then- But hey, if you do get a bearish market, then don’t forget to mention that you were told first hand here at OptionPundit. We are close…