Category: US Market

  • US Presidential Elections- How Will Stocks React?

    US Presidential Elections- How Will Stocks React?

    Do presidential elections affect US stock market? How will stocks react to Mr Trump’s or Mrs Clinton’s win? Based on historical data, it may not be smooth sailing for the stock market this year. Since 1900, On average, The S&P 500 has dropped an about 1.2 percent in 4th year of second presidential terms.

  • Time to Choose Your Side, Bull or Bear?

    A fantastic January for stock markets! probably the best in decades. US stock prices doesn’t really indicate any Euro Crisis whatsoever. There are hardly any signs of recessions or double dip (remember those were so loud and clear till Nov’11). Doesn’t Mr Market discounts everything 6months in advance? Since S&P500 touched 1074.77 in early Oct’11,…

  • OPNewsletter Nov +7.1%, Dec +1.66% (Open)

    There has been terrible deterioration in the stock markets. As I shared separately, even though markets might be in slightly oversold state and may rebound, my composite model is still in the SELL mode. In spite of such a broad deterioration, for OPNewsletter, we are still doing fine. During Dec portfolios, SPX dropped from 1292…

  • What difference does a week make?

    What difference does a week make in stock markets? At times, a lot.  In fact, these days even 1 hr can make a big difference. Sharp market movements in either direction are more of norm these days. Consider this, almost 400points Dow rally within last 40mins on Oct 4th, almost 100points move during 30mins On…

  • OPNewsletter Jun’11 up +10% (Open), Jul’11 up +1.7% (Open)

    Costco (COST) is down almost $5 since I last shared a FREE trade idea together with a simple trading strategy, those COST puts, easily hit the profit target identified in the post and if measured point to point, are now up +70%.  NFLX bearish trade resulted into nice gains within a day of my posting…

  • Is it The Time to be Bullish?

    I mentioned that I won’t go long until S&P can close above $1,344. Yesterday, S&P close comfortable above 1,344. Additionally, there was another bullish signal based upon Dow Theory i.e. both Dow Industrial and Dow Transport closed at new high since Mar’09 bottom. So the market might be entering into another bull leg, probably the last leg…