Where is NIFTY (S&P CNX NIFTY NSEI) headed? Well, no one has that answers else they wouldn’t be trading. It’s all about “What ifs” and probability of those likelihoods. This post tries to paint what are the possible outcomes in the short run and how could you trade those? Let’s cover…
I mentioned that I won’t go long until S&P can close above $1,344. Yesterday, S&P close comfortable above 1,344. Additionally, there was another bullish signal based upon Dow Theory i.e. both Dow Industrial and Dow Transport closed at new high since Mar’09 bottom. So the market might be entering into…
It was start of winters in Kobe, Japan. While sipping coffee in a “Gaijin” restaurant in Sanomiya , I was thinking “this is irrational”. How could money making be so easy for everyone that I talk to me but for myself? Even the coffee-shop owner was giving me tip which…
Netflix (NFLX) has been a shining star and shorts have been pushed against the wall time and again. After lingering between $20-$40 for several years, NFLX has gone from $50 to $200 YTD alone, in a 45degree straight line. See attached chart for YTD performance- After watching it for sometime,…
No one has an answer to this question. In August, the market fell nearly 5%, as rising fears of a double dip and of a repeat of 1930s-style deflation, spooked investors and sparked heavy selling. But instead of a continued negativity in September — historically the worst month for stocks…
Gold is making waves, a new record high in terms of US$; I hope you read my earlier post on Sept 2 (Going for Gold)and benefited from the move. Recently I attended a talk in an investment club where one of my friends presented an interesting perspective about The Gartely 222 Chart…
It was a poor day for US Stock markets. The down volume was 92% and it was soon after a 90% up day on Friday. When this happens, “usually” it is not a good sign. There are tons of technical indicators and each of those has rationale expectations. What I…
In order to share current market conditions, I borrowed this title from an excellent book “This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly by Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen M Reinhart”. If you haven’t read it, I shall suggest that you get a copy and read it. Let’s get to…
We are in for one of the very interesting times when dealing with stock markets. Yesterday broader markets closed above widely watched 200days moving averages. It was also a 90% volume up day but more importantly the volume was below average. So is it a “trap” to convince everyone that…
Is this correction over? Probably a trillion dollar question that is going through everybody’s mind! The irony is that whoever has the crystal ball to answer this, probably doesn’t even need to answer this as he/she must have already achieved the market nirvana. Rest of us can only try or…