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OPNewsletter Oct’11 +1.81% (Open)

October 3, 2011

During the past week, markets been very volatile to say the least. Dow rose almost 5% from week prior to fall sharply and thus ending the week almost 1.3% up. All other major indices closed negative for the week. For OPNewsletter Oct’11 Income Portfolios, we are up +1.81% and we…

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October 3, 2011

Uncertainty is Here to Stay

September 19, 2011

This week is going to be probably one of the weeks that will be remembered for years to come. Here is my brief take on the key events ahead. In what form Uncle Ben unleash QE3, how Greece defaults (possibly) on its debt and a proposed “Buffett Rule” for Millionaires….

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September 19, 2011

Markets at Crossroads, So what?

August 19, 2011

Last week was nothing short of records and the volatility continues. The FFIV trade was a loss; as I mentioned in the post that key watch out was market volatility. Hopefully you had a stop loss to get out of the trade timely. This short post is to share that…

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August 19, 2011

Interesting Times Ahead

June 17, 2011

Even though markets closed in positive territory on Thursday, down volume was 52% of up + down volume. There were 16 new 52 Wks high while 82 were at new 52wks low. On NYSE 1377 stocks advanced and 1682 issues declined. During after hrs, RIMM announced poor set of results…

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June 17, 2011

Don’t Simply Ignore this Divergence

May 23, 2011

Over past 2-3 decades, Stock Market Technical analysis has developed into a full professional career. And if one is willing to learn and master it, there are certified programs like Chartered Market Technicians or popularly known as CMT. Some traders live by it day-in-day-out, while others think that charts are…

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May 23, 2011

Don’t Push Your Luck

May 16, 2011

Recently I upped my cautious posts on this blog. I questioned if it was time to be bullish via three simple macro economic indicators i.e. S&P Dividend Yield, S&P Price to Earnings Ratio, 10 year treasuries yields. When we have an environments that is low dividend yield, high P/E ratio, rising bond…

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May 16, 2011

Is it The Time to be Bullish?

April 29, 2011

I mentioned that I won’t go long until S&P can close above $1,344. Yesterday, S&P close comfortable above 1,344. Additionally, there was another bullish signal based upon Dow Theory i.e. both Dow Industrial and Dow Transport closed at new high since Mar’09 bottom. So the market might be entering into…

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April 29, 2011

Get Ready for a Bitter Pill

April 19, 2011

The freshest “surprising” news is that S&P  just downgraded the US debt’s outlook to “Negative” from stable. IMHO, the only surprising element of this story is “courage”. I don’t think till now rating agencies even raised eyebrows forget about downgrading the US debt. Just a few years ago, this was…

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April 19, 2011

Don’t Confuse Headlines with Reality

December 21, 2010

Nothing much is going on in the markets. Though day traders are finding it hard to find trade-able opportunities the way it was before QE2 days, but I still think there are opportunities but with a difference. With the proliferation of HFTs and also “no way for Bears” surety from Uncle Ben, the format for…

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December 21, 2010

Ms Vega is Here to Stay

July 28, 2010

Pls allow me introduce you to Ms Vega. Ms Vega is my personification for Implied Volatility.  As of this writing, there is almost 3% IV difference for SPY ATM options, VIX is at 24, VIX Oct futures are at 30, a 25% difference!! Though nothing is certain in the markets,…

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July 28, 2010
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