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National OilWell (NOV) got a Good Deal

December 17, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) I assessed GRP from two different valuation model perspective and had arrived at $72 as intrinsic value with certain growth assumptions. National Oilwell Varco (NOV) agreed to buy Grant PrideCo (GRP) for $7.5billions roughly valuing $58/share (though actual cost may vary depending upon NOV’s stock…

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December 17, 2007

The Week Ahead

November 25, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) The most awaited number, in my opinion, is retail sales numbers after the Thanksgiving/ Black Friday. According to Shoppertrak, (US sales rose 8.3% after thanksgiving) , US consumers spent US$10.3 billions on holiday purchases yesterday, an 8.3 percent increase from last year, after retailers promoted…

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November 25, 2007

Bears are Winning the Race, Uncle Ben?

November 20, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) We are only few points away from Aug 16th lows. FOMC’s Oct 30-31st meeting minutes will out soon and that will pretty much decide fate of the markets. Dow staged another fake rally and now is really struggling to keep-up with the 13K. As I…

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November 20, 2007

Dow struggling for 13K

November 19, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) The DOW is down over 150points, all the gains that were triggered by one day rally on Nov 13 are almost gone. I have been mentioning over and over again and shall mention again, watch out 12,800 area. If it’s broken, welcome bears (for how…

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November 19, 2007

I Shall Sell into Any Rally

November 12, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) It may turn out a wrong move but this is the stand I am going to take for my today’s trading. This is option’s expiration week and to add further volatility, the week is packed with lot of market moving data (PPI and retail sales…

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November 12, 2007

Be Selective on Any Rise

November 6, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) BE selective should you decide to jump bandwagon. I didn’t find anything convincing other than a technical rebound so I would rather be careful. I generally look for 30mins “dust settle” time before making a decision (exception do exist). CROX did wonderful. It will find…

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November 6, 2007

PetroChina, WellCare and Citigroup

November 5, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) Talk about the stories, here is a list of the biggies. I mean real BIGGGG! Let’s start with the largest company in the world, yes, you read it right. PetroChina (PTR) is the largest company on the Planet (from Market cap perspective). How big, more…

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November 5, 2007

Oil Bubble, Really?

October 26, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) Here is a post on Market watch by Dr Irwin Kellner on Oct 22, 2007 stating look for oil prices to plummet. I have respect for Dr Irwin, but in this case I disagree with him. I think my questions to bear are still valid….

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October 26, 2007

Emerging Markets and Bubble

October 22, 2007

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net) Emerging markets are surely in a bubble phase right now (I am sure it’s a “bubble” while rest may say “could be”). So, now big boys are telling us that there is a possibility of bubble in emerging markets. Well, it can’t be more timely…

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October 22, 2007
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