Harley (HOG) Misses, JP Morgan (JPM) Beats

By | Earnings, Past Performance, Trade Ideas | No Comments

Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) said quarterly earnings fell 37 percent, pulled down by costs from its recession-triggered restructuring and a tax change in its home state of Wisconsin but still expecting to meet full-year shipment forecast;  “mildly encouraged” that the rate at which sales declined in the United States, its biggest market, slowed during the quarter. The company reported first-quarter net income of $117.3 million, or 50 cents a share, down from $187.6 million, or 79…

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Harley Davidson (HOG), Run Away or Ride

By | Earnings, Option Trading, Trade Ideas | One Comment

Harley Davidson (HOG) will be announcing results prior to market open tomorrow. The expectation is to deliver $0.52/share. While it can always turn tables around to beat earnings (via price increase etc), I would like to play bearish on this. Fine, I agree that it has a very loyalist customer base, the expectations are already low and all that. But consumer spending going downhill, big ticket items on hold and “needs” taking over “wants”, I…

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The Geithner Put – The Public Private Investors Partnership Fund

By | Market Psychology | 2 Comments

The Geithner Put – PPIP Plan I have been thinking about this for a while on how best to simplify and John Hussman did an excellent write-up to explain his thoughts, similar to mine, about this whole PPIF program. So without any modifications, let me share what what he thinks- Last week saw a continuation of the impenetrably misguided policy response to this financial crisis, which seeks to address the downturn by encouraging more of…

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JP Morgan Chase beats by $0.07, misses on revs

By | Market Psychology, Technical Analysis, US Market | No Comments

JP Morgan Chase (JPM) Reported Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.07 per share, $0.07 better than the First Call consensus of ($0.00); revenues fell 0.9% year/year to $17.23 bln vs the $18.83 bln consensus. Losses were in investment banking due mark downs on leveraged loans and mortgage trading positions. They faced higher credit costs associated with continued deterioration across our loan portfolios, including a $4.1 billion addition to loan loss reserves. Let’s see how it filters to…

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Pre-Market Losers

By | Intraday Trading, Trade Ideas, US Market | No Comments

A fantastic day (of course assuming that one embraces volatilities well) for some bearish play. Bearish plays on a bearish day can yield significant returns but one needs to be very careful and should clearly defined entry and exit points well in advance. Before I share the list, pls note that we may play some speculative trades for OPNewsletter subscribers as bonus alert, so pls stay in touch with the forum. TTWO, AAPL, RIMM, FSLR, GOOG, AIG, BAC, JPM,…

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