How to Play Google Earnings, Again?

By | Earnings, Trade Ideas | 2 Comments

Google (GOOG) is announcing earnings today after market close. A $500+ stock and famous for it’s move post earnings, it is almost in every “speculators” list to play for the big event. I covered GOOG earnings extensively. If you are looking for a play based on detailed analysis based, check out the past trades here.  There were 4 different types of plays and all were the winners. So do you want to play again? what is your outlook on how much Google is going to move. If you expect Google to move more than $15-$20, you should not even read…

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OPNewsletter (Jul’09) +5.2% (Open)

By | OP Newsletter, Past Performance, US Market | One Comment

4th down week for the markets. It’s interesting to evaluate how underlyings have moved since we started our portfolios. X moved +1% to -23% and moved wildly. GDX moved from +3% to -11%, and all major market indices including S&P 500, DOW and Russell 2000 ended down, ranging from -5.5% to -6.5% (Ref point June 16th). On contrary, OPNewsletter, using 43.3% of capital is up +5.2% x-commissions. If you recall mid-June when we started our portfolios, the “green shoots” theory was gaining momentum (maybe still it is, but less so) and markets were making high. These pages on OptionPundit reflect…

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Harley (HOG) Misses, JP Morgan (JPM) Beats

By | Earnings, Past Performance, Trade Ideas | No Comments

Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) said quarterly earnings fell 37 percent, pulled down by costs from its recession-triggered restructuring and a tax change in its home state of Wisconsin but still expecting to meet full-year shipment forecast;  “mildly encouraged” that the rate at which sales declined in the United States, its biggest market, slowed during the quarter. The company reported first-quarter net income of $117.3 million, or 50 cents a share, down from $187.6 million, or 79 cents a share, a year earlier. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report a profit of 52 cents a share on sales of $1.30…

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How to Play Alcoa (AA) Earnings?

By | Backspread, Earnings, Trade Ideas | 8 Comments

Aloca (AA) is set to announce earnings after close today. Wall Street is expecting a fall to -$0.55 to -$0.57 EPS depending upon who do you follow (Zacks, First Call etc). The quarter was not that exciting, hence the expectation are already factored for a very poor quarter. I think the movement will depend on the extent of swing of losses in either direction. My personal bias is that will beat these lowered numbers (probably on ground of higher discounts to liquidate inventory, etc.) . Worth watching though is the Gross/operating Margins. Earnings related trades are speculative and hence there…

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The Week Ahead

By | Daily Report, Trade Ideas | No Comments

A very important week is ahead that might set tone for rest of the quarter. Fed Chief Bernanke will be announcing on Tuesday via FOMC announcement that he has decided to keep interest rates same (my guess) as US economy can’t handle any hike at the moment. Rate cut it out of question. Though a lot of companies are going to announce earnings this week, here are few name that might see some significant movements- OTTR , OEH, HURN, BIO, NILE, PCLN, SNCR, WFMI, FWLT, KALU, AIG, COGT, CROX, DECK, HANS, INT PIMCO chief Bill Gorss says “This deflating supply…

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