This trade is now open for viewing/reading to broad OP readers.
After playing speculative strategies during the last 2 week of earning season, I am back to my bread-n-butter strategy. In this Iron Condor, I am selling the RUT March 850 calls and 760 puts and buying the March 860 calls and 750 puts for a net credit of $2.25.
This Iron condor is quite market-neutral at this point (rather slightly negative delta). There is about a 16% chance that the RUT will close above $850 at March options expiration, and a 14% chance that the RUT will close below the $760 level at March options expiration. The potential risk to reward with trade is 29% for holding till March 15 or before (if RUT remains between 850 and 760 by March options expiration). I shall be continuously monitoring this position for the best time to either adjust or close depending upon the price of the options and the underlying shares of the RUT.
Disclaimer : As with other posts, this is not an advisory. These are my personal trades that I open for viewing. Please read the legal notices and disclaimer here for details.
bear call spread, credit spread, iron condor, russell 2000, RUT, stock option trading, Trade IdeasOptionPundit© (OP) is designed for novice as well as serious option traders. It is a stock & option trading blogsite that is dedicated to the following objectives: read more ⇒
3heart
February 4th, 2007 at 4:49 pm
OptionPundit,
Why is a 5-6 weeks IC is your choice? why not 7 weeks or 2 months?
Best Regards,
3heart
optionpundit
February 5th, 2007 at 6:55 am
3heart, it’s based on experience, fill and character of the underlying. I have been trading RUT for quite a while and I have noticed 5-6wks is a good time to open my trade.There is no scientific logic behind it.
BTW, for your information my order was filled after 3 days for being in the queue. These are some points that one learns over a period of time by being on the “dance floor”.
Hope this helps,
OptionPundit
3heart
February 5th, 2007 at 4:52 pm
Thanks, OptionPundit. I believe if a strategy is successful there is always a scientific support there although we haven’t found it.
Jason
February 10th, 2007 at 3:53 pm
If you don’t mind me asking what is the charting software that you are using in the above example
Tom Landess
February 17th, 2007 at 1:12 am
Using this calculator…
For the 860-850 BCS, you need $865.
For the 750-760 BPS, you need $910.
Doesn’t it cost $910 per IC with an option-friendly broker?
OptionPundit
February 17th, 2007 at 4:11 am
Tom, I looked at the calcutor and I am not sure what is your question? are you saying that when you open this trade now it currently cost $910 i.e. only $0.90 premiium is available. If yes, then it is not correct. As per the prices clsoed last night, this Iron condor is selling for $1.35 that means it costs $865. However I opened this trade some time back and that time it costed only $775. I have in fact already earned 40% of premium.
Tom Landess
February 17th, 2007 at 2:19 pm
Sorry for the confusion, let me clarify. When you opened this IC two weeks ago, I believe these were the values as of Feb 2:
Mar 860 Call @ 1.35
Mar 850 Call @ 2.70
Mar 760 Put @ 3.86
Mar 750 Put @ 2.96
Total credit = $2.25
As of Feb 16,
Mar 860 Call @ .57
Mar 850 Call @ 1.50
Mar 760 Put @ 1.15
Mar 750 Put @ .70
Total credit = $1.38
So in two weeks,
1) there is a gain of .87 per IC (2.25 - 1.38 = .87).
2) % of max credit so far = .87 divided by 2.25 ==> 38.7%
(about 40%… yes, I agree)
Using that calculator, the IC would’ve cost $910 per IC, not $775. Is that correct?
OptionPundit
February 19th, 2007 at 4:49 am
Tom, I think you are looking at it half baked. Because when I looked at the trade individual i.e. BCS and BPS the requirements were $865 and $910. However, when doing an Iron condor you need to look at the overall position. So when you combine the two, $135 credit from Bear Call ($1000-$865) and $90 ($1000-$910) credit from Bull Put. Thus overall credit $225 ($135+90) and hence the cost is $775 ($1000-$225). Hope that helps.