Technical Analysis Category

US stock markets are again at an interesting crossroad. I was assessing potential turning points for the market and recalled my Aug 16, 2007 post. De Javu! I don’t think my views are any more different from what I had then, except that I am much more bearish now than I was in Aug’07. The [...]

It feels good to see when your investments goes up despite market turmoil. I am +126% in 2007 and up a nice 10.1% for Jan’08 income trades already. I shall later be posting “Ten Factors” that contributed to my good year in 2007 for your read.
Let’s look at markets first. Long time OP readers know [...]

Imagine What’s Next

In: Market Psychology and Technical Analysis

(for details pls visit www.OptionPundit.net)

I have been bearish and been saying for nearly a month. But this was an interesting week and quite positive. Dow gained +3.0%, S&P500 gained +2.8%, The Nasdaq +2.5% and the Russell 2000 gained +1.7%. Amazing, isn’t it?  I am not yet convinced though (as if that really matters). Before I [...]

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OPN Performance

This assumes a $10,000 starting and fully invested capital. The current phase started when OPNewsletter was re-opened in Jan'08 for Feb'08 expiration. OPN Month is counted as 3rd Friday of each month same as US Equity option expiration day. Comparison with S&P500 or Dow is not shown as it's unfair to expect from such large institution to deliver high returns. I would rather compare with my own target.

OPN Performance (Current) - http://sheet.zoho.com

The Phase-1 assumes from May 2007 till Jan 2008 and starting fully invested capital of $10,000.

OPN Performance (Phase-1) - http://sheet.zoho.com

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Performance Matters (OPN)

  • May'07 +22.3%
  • Jun'07 +33.5%
  • Jul'07 +32.7%
  • Aug'07 +17.9%
  • Sep'07 +6.9%
  • Oct'07 +57.3%
  • Nov'07 +17.1%
  • Dec'07 (Chill-out)
  • Jan'08 +14.8%
  • Feb'08 +11.6%
  • Mar'08 +16.5%
  • Apr'08 +9.2%
  • Commission included from May'08
  • May'08 +1.7%
  • Jun'08 +11.1%
  • Jul'08 +7.1%
  • Aug'08 -13.0%
  • Sep'08 +6.2%
  • Oct'08 +9.0%, only 1 Portf.
  • Nov'08 +5.0%
  • Dec'08 +0.0%(Opening)

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